New Jersey Devils at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-04-16 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 49.1%

NJD: 50.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.83

NJD: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	25	3	89.3%	2.77	1	-0.23
NJD	Nico Daws	28	24	4	85.7%	2.82	1	-1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	SEA 4 - 2 NJD	SEA	NJD
2026-01-14	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-06	SEA 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-06	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2024-02-12	NJD 3 - 1 SEA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.63
1	NJD	14	0	0.82
2	SEA	14	0	0.94
2	NJD	14	1	0.96
3	SEA	11	0	0.25
3	NJD	14	0	0.75
4	SEA	2	0	0.18
4	NJD	1	0	0.02
5	SEA	3	1	0.83
5	NJD	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2