San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-04-17 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 67.4%

SJS: 32.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.06

SJS: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 38%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	30	26	4	86.7%	1.84	0	-2.16
SJS	J. Reimer	28	23	5	82.1%	2.87	1	-2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs SJS: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	0	0.93
1	SJS	12	0	0.41
2	MIN	9	1	1.04
2	SJS	19	0	0.93
3	MIN	15	0	0.73
3	SJS	10	0	0.50
4	MIN	2	0	0.17
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.8