Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-04-18 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 45.2%

DAL: 54.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.22

DAL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	30	28	2	93.3%	2.24	1	0.24
DAL	Jake Oettinger	31	25	6	80.6%	3.73	2	-2.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs DAL: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	0.92
1	DAL	14	1	0.89
2	VAN	25	0	1.54
2	DAL	10	0	0.85
3	VAN	8	2	1.27
3	DAL	13	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3