New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2022-04-18 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 48.8%
NJD: 51.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.47
NJD: 3.33
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
R. Lehner
NJD
A. Hammond
| Stat | VGK | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | R. Lehner | 28 | 25 | 3 | 89.3% | 1.88 | 1 | -1.12 |
| NJD | A. Hammond | 44 | 42 | 2 | 95.5% | 4.87 | 5 | 2.87 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VGK at home vs NJD: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | VGK 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | VGK |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-02 | VGK 2 - 0 NJD | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-06 | NJD 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-03-17 | VGK 3 - 1 NJD | VGK | VGK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VGK | 19 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1 | NJD | 15 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 2 | VGK | 25 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 2 | NJD | 7 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 3 | VGK | 23 | 3 | 1.92 |
| 3 | NJD | 12 | 1 | 1.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.5 - 3.3
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