Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-04-19 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

MTL: 36.1%

MIN: 63.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.01

MIN: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 52%

MTL

C. Price

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	C. Price	30	28	2	93.3%	3.32	1	1.32
MIN	C. Talbot	26	26	0	100.0%	2.10	1	2.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MTL at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.46
1	MIN	20	0	1.30
2	MTL	10	0	0.67
2	MIN	8	0	0.53
3	MTL	14	1	0.98
3	MIN	17	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6