Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-04-19 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 46.9%
BOS: 53.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.03
BOS: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
V. Husso
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | STL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | V. Husso | 35 | 32 | 3 | 91.4% | 3.27 | 1 | 0.27 |
| BOS | Jeremy Swayman | 22 | 20 | 2 | 90.9% | 2.04 | 0 | 0.04 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | STL 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2025-12-04 | BOS 5 - 2 STL | BOS | STL |
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2 - 3 STL | STL | BOS |
| 2024-11-12 | STL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1 - 5 STL | STL | BOS |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 13 | 0 | 1.10 |
| 1 | BOS | 18 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | STL | 9 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 2 | BOS | 20 | 1 | 1.94 |
| 3 | STL | 9 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 3 | BOS | 10 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 4 | STL | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | BOS | 1 | 0 | 0.11 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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