Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2022-04-19 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 55.7%
LAK: 44.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.89
LAK: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | ANA | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 3.22 | 1 | 1.22 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 30 | 29 | 1 | 96.7% | 3.11 | 1 | 2.11 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | ANA 2 - 1 LAK | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-16 | LAK 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-12-27 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-28 | ANA 5 - 4 LAK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-10 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 8 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 1 | LAK | 17 | 0 | 1.23 |
| 2 | ANA | 20 | 1 | 2.24 |
| 2 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 3 | ANA | 9 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 3 | LAK | 10 | 1 | 1.28 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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