Columbus Blue Jackets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-04-19 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

SJS: 55.5%

CBJ: 44.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.17

CBJ: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	24	22	2	91.7%	2.33	0	0.33
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	28	25	3	89.3%	2.65	2	-0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CBJ 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	CBJ
2026-01-06	SJS 5 - 2 CBJ	SJS	SJS
2025-01-16	CBJ 4 - 1 SJS	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-05	SJS 2 - 1 CBJ	SJS	CBJ
2024-03-16	CBJ 4 - 2 SJS	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	1	1.16
1	CBJ	14	0	0.37
2	SJS	11	0	0.86
2	CBJ	15	0	1.20
3	SJS	10	1	0.64
3	CBJ	12	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0