St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-04-21 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 50.2%

STL: 49.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.02

STL: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

J. Reimer

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	28	25	3	89.3%	2.83	1	-0.17
STL	Jordan Binnington	21	20	1	95.2%	1.39	1	0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	0	0.35
1	STL	16	0	0.81
2	SJS	7	0	0.51
2	STL	11	0	0.61
3	SJS	8	1	0.54
3	STL	9	1	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4