Washington Capitals at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-22 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

ARI: 45.0%

WSH: 55.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.93

WSH: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

WSH

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	29	27	2	93.1%	3.09	1	1.09
WSH	V. Vanecek	19	19	0	100.0%	1.76	0	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-03	WSH 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	WSH
2023-12-04	ARI 6 - 0 WSH	ARI	ARI
2023-01-19	ARI 0 - 4 WSH	WSH	ARI
2022-11-05	WSH 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	WSH
2022-04-22	ARI 0 - 2 WSH	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	10	0	0.61
1	WSH	16	0	0.73
2	ARI	7	0	0.47
2	WSH	17	0	1.06
3	ARI	8	0	0.68
3	WSH	14	1	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0