New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-04-23 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

BOS: 72.2%

NYR: 27.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.81

NYR: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

BOS

L. Ullmark

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	31	30	1	96.8%	2.58	2	1.58
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	35	32	3	91.4%	3.25	1	0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • BOS at home vs NYR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	BOS 3 - 0 NYR	BOS	NYR
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.91
1	NYR	13	1	1.01
2	BOS	19	0	1.46
2	NYR	11	1	0.83
3	BOS	11	1	0.88
3	NYR	11	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7