Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-23 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 50.5%

CAR: 49.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.00

CAR: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

NJD

J. Gillies

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	J. Gillies	29	26	3	89.7%	2.66	1	-0.34
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	19	17	2	89.5%	1.90	0	-0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	6	0	0.39
1	CAR	14	0	0.44
2	NJD	9	0	0.66
2	CAR	17	1	1.24
3	NJD	12	0	0.85
3	CAR	12	0	0.70
4	NJD	0	0	0.00
4	CAR	2	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2