Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-04-23 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CGY: 62.8%

VAN: 37.2%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.33

VAN: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dan Vladar	31	28	3	90.3%	2.18	0	-0.82
VAN	Thatcher Demko	31	25	6	80.6%	5.04	4	-0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CGY at home vs VAN: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.76
1	VAN	9	0	0.52
2	CGY	22	1	1.76
2	VAN	15	0	0.65
3	CGY	12	3	2.53
3	VAN	16	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0