St. Louis Blues at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-23 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 36.4%

STL: 63.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.80

STL: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

ARI

H. Sateri

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	H. Sateri	33	28	5	84.8%	3.73	1	-1.27
STL	Jordan Binnington	20	16	4	80.0%	2.21	2	-1.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • ARI at home vs STL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-02	ARI 4 - 1 STL	ARI	ARI
2023-11-22	ARI 5 - 6 STL	STL	ARI
2023-11-09	STL 2 - 1 ARI	STL	ARI
2023-10-19	STL 2 - 6 ARI	ARI	STL
2023-03-07	ARI 6 - 2 STL	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	11	0	0.71
1	STL	19	0	1.41
2	ARI	7	0	0.36
2	STL	14	0	1.27
3	ARI	14	2	1.14
3	STL	9	1	0.87
4	ARI	0	0	0.00
4	STL	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4