Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-04-24 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYI: 42.1%

CAR: 57.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.78

CAR: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	34	29	5	85.3%	3.35	2	-1.65
CAR	A. Raanta	26	24	2	92.3%	2.10	0	0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYI at home vs CAR: 4-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	0	0.78
1	CAR	14	0	0.99
2	NYI	16	0	0.85
2	CAR	15	0	0.73
3	NYI	7	0	0.47
3	CAR	19	2	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 2.8