Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-04-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WPG: 50.3%

COL: 49.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.92

COL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	30	1	96.8%	2.81	0	1.81
COL	D. Kuemper	44	40	4	90.9%	4.27	1	0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	20	1	1.37
1	COL	10	0	0.57
2	WPG	14	0	0.97
2	COL	17	0	0.72
3	WPG	29	0	1.93
3	COL	21	0	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1