Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-04-26 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 55.2%

FLA: 44.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.05

FLA: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

BOS

L. Ullmark

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	21	19	2	90.5%	2.07	0	0.07
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	38	34	4	89.5%	4.29	2	0.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • BOS at home vs FLA: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	19	0	1.42
1	FLA	12	0	0.79
2	BOS	15	0	0.98
2	FLA	13	0	0.80
3	BOS	20	2	1.89
3	FLA	8	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1