Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-04-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYR: 43.2%

CAR: 56.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.76

CAR: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	36	32	4	88.9%	3.69	2	-0.31
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	34	31	3	91.2%	3.36	4	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs CAR: 7-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.75
1	CAR	18	0	1.08
2	NYR	15	2	1.41
2	CAR	18	1	1.83
3	NYR	11	2	1.19
3	CAR	14	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3