Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-04-26 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

SJS: 48.1%

ANA: 51.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.44

ANA: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	31	26	5	83.9%	3.53	2	-1.47
ANA	A. Stolarz	33	31	2	93.9%	2.83	0	0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs ANA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	22	0	1.10
1	ANA	9	0	0.55
2	SJS	17	0	1.14
2	ANA	11	0	0.77
3	SJS	12	0	0.58
3	ANA	19	2	2.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3