Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-04-28 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Nashville Predators (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 53.9%

NSH: 46.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.58

NSH: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

COL

D. Kuemper

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	40	35	5	87.5%	4.18	3	-0.82
NSH	D. Rittich	48	44	4	91.7%	3.90	2	-0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • COL at home vs NSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	22	1	1.46
1	NSH	13	0	0.66
2	COL	17	0	1.06
2	NSH	14	1	0.86
3	COL	16	1	1.10
3	NSH	17	1	1.22
4	COL	4	0	0.14
4	NSH	5	0	0.53
5	COL	3	0	0.14
5	NSH	3	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1