Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 7 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

STL: 47.5%

VGK: 52.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.10

VGK: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

STL

V. Husso

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	45	38	7	84.4%	5.83	5	-1.17
VGK	L. Thompson	18	14	4	77.8%	2.62	0	-1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VGK: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	9	0	0.89
1	VGK	14	1	1.11
2	STL	16	0	1.14
2	VGK	22	1	1.56
3	STL	8	0	0.59
3	VGK	25	3	3.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 7 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7