Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

DAL: 51.3%

ANA: 48.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.18

ANA: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	21	19	2	90.5%	1.74	0	-0.26
ANA	John Gibson	19	15	4	78.9%	3.26	1	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DAL at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	10	0	0.54
1	ANA	5	0	0.35
2	DAL	18	0	1.63
2	ANA	12	0	0.53
3	DAL	5	1	1.09
3	ANA	15	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8