Nashville Predators at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

ARI: 59.5%

NSH: 40.5%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.12

NSH: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

NSH

C. Ingram

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	33	29	4	87.9%	3.98	2	-0.02
NSH	C. Ingram	27	22	5	81.5%	2.34	2	-2.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • ARI at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-28	ARI 8 - 4 NSH	ARI	NSH
2024-02-10	NSH 5 - 4 ARI	NSH	NSH
2024-01-20	ARI 3 - 2 NSH	ARI	NSH
2023-11-11	NSH 5 - 7 ARI	ARI	NSH
2023-03-09	ARI 4 - 1 NSH	ARI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	9	0	0.46
1	NSH	16	0	1.09
2	ARI	10	0	0.33
2	NSH	18	0	0.92
3	ARI	19	2	1.56
3	NSH	22	2	1.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1