Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-05-04 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CAR: 50.4%

BOS: 49.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.26

BOS: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

CAR

A. Raanta

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	38	36	2	94.7%	3.45	2	1.45
BOS	L. Ullmark	34	29	5	85.3%	4.43	4	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs BOS: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.39
1	BOS	16	1	0.98
2	CAR	16	2	1.67
2	BOS	14	0	0.90
3	CAR	17	2	2.38
3	BOS	24	1	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2