Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-05-06 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 49.4%

CAR: 50.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.93

CAR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	27	25	2	92.6%	1.92	0	-0.08
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	28	24	4	85.7%	2.93	1	-1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BOS at home vs CAR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.59
1	CAR	15	0	0.93
2	BOS	19	1	1.45
2	CAR	10	0	0.69
3	BOS	14	0	0.90
3	CAR	10	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0