Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-05-10 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 48.5%

BOS: 51.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.17

BOS: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

CAR

A. Raanta

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	34	33	1	97.1%	2.33	1	1.33
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	38	33	5	86.8%	3.91	4	-1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs BOS: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	1	1.27
1	BOS	12	1	0.92
2	CAR	22	2	1.92
2	BOS	15	0	0.53
3	CAR	13	1	0.72
3	BOS	19	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3