Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-05-12 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

BOS: 50.3%

CAR: 49.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.89

CAR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	25	23	2	92.0%	2.68	0	0.68
CAR	A. Raanta	34	29	5	85.3%	2.95	2	-2.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BOS at home vs CAR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.38
1	CAR	15	0	0.63
2	BOS	13	1	0.93
2	CAR	18	0	1.26
3	BOS	19	1	1.64
3	CAR	11	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1