Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-05-14 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CAR: 52.2%

BOS: 47.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.26

BOS: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

A. Raanta

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	29	27	2	93.1%	2.03	0	0.03
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	31	28	3	90.3%	2.39	1	-0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs BOS: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	0	1.26
1	BOS	15	0	0.67
2	CAR	19	1	0.70
2	BOS	11	0	0.31
3	CAR	12	0	0.43
3	BOS	17	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2