Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-05-03 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

COL: 50.9%

NSH: 49.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.47

NSH: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

COL

D. Kuemper

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	25	23	2	92.0%	1.81	1	-0.19
NSH	D. Rittich	45	38	7	84.4%	3.47	1	-3.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • COL at home vs NSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	24	0	1.34
1	NSH	6	0	0.33
2	COL	15	1	1.27
2	NSH	13	1	0.88
3	COL	22	0	0.86
3	NSH	12	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1