Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-05-05 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Nashville Predators (OT)

Win Probability

COL: 60.0%

NSH: 40.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.64

NSH: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

COL

D. Kuemper

NSH

C. Ingram

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	26	25	1	96.2%	2.31	1	1.31
NSH	C. Ingram	51	49	2	96.1%	4.50	3	2.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • COL at home vs NSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	1	0.73
1	NSH	14	0	0.79
2	COL	27	1	1.74
2	NSH	6	0	0.26
3	COL	18	0	1.15
3	NSH	8	0	0.44
4	COL	12	1	0.89
4	NSH	7	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1