Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-05-07 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 53.2%

COL: 46.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.05

COL: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

C. Ingram

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	C. Ingram	42	35	7	83.3%	5.95	5	-1.05
COL	D. Kuemper	30	27	3	90.0%	2.18	0	-0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NSH at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.80
1	COL	15	0	1.12
2	NSH	15	0	1.06
2	COL	25	1	1.83
3	NSH	12	0	0.32
3	COL	16	4	3.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1