Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-05-09 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 52.6%

COL: 47.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.03

COL: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

C. Ingram

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	C. Ingram	38	33	5	86.8%	3.48	1	-1.52
COL	P. Francouz	31	28	3	90.3%	2.04	2	-0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NSH at home vs COL: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	8	0	0.30
1	COL	15	0	1.02
2	NSH	15	1	1.06
2	COL	13	0	0.74
3	NSH	13	1	0.67
3	COL	18	1	1.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3