St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-05-02 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 65.8%

STL: 34.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.12

STL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	31	27	4	87.1%	3.22	2	-0.78
STL	V. Husso	37	37	0	100.0%	3.63	1	3.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • MIN at home vs STL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	0	1.20
1	STL	12	2	1.44
2	MIN	24	1	1.86
2	STL	13	0	0.87
3	MIN	11	0	0.57
3	STL	11	0	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.1 - 3.1