St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-05-04 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

MIN: 69.1%

STL: 30.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.57

STL: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	34	32	2	94.1%	2.56	0	0.56
STL	V. Husso	28	22	6	78.6%	2.56	2	-3.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • MIN at home vs STL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	1	0.86
1	STL	15	0	0.51
2	MIN	14	0	0.74
2	STL	19	0	1.18
3	MIN	11	1	0.95
3	STL	12	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8