Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-05-08 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 47.4%

MIN: 52.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.04

MIN: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	28	2	93.3%	3.72	1	1.72
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	34	29	5	85.3%	4.42	3	-0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • STL at home vs MIN: 7-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	24	2	2.65
1	MIN	10	0	0.67
2	STL	9	0	0.48
2	MIN	22	0	1.52
3	STL	12	1	1.29
3	MIN	18	1	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2