St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-05-10 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 67.0%

STL: 33.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.07

STL: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	32	27	5	84.4%	2.77	2	-2.23
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	30	2	93.8%	2.50	0	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • MIN at home vs STL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	20	0	0.93
1	STL	12	1	0.67
2	MIN	16	0	1.29
2	STL	18	0	0.90
3	MIN	13	0	0.28
3	STL	14	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.1 - 2.7