Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-05-12 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 41.6%

MIN: 58.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.04

MIN: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	25	1	96.2%	2.28	0	1.28
MIN	C. Talbot	27	22	5	81.5%	2.77	3	-2.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • STL at home vs MIN: 7-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	4	0	0.17
1	MIN	16	0	0.99
2	STL	24	2	1.52
2	MIN	8	0	0.43
3	STL	6	1	1.09
3	MIN	16	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2