Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-05-02 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 50.9%

LAK: 49.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.02

LAK: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

EDM

M. Smith

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	35	31	4	88.6%	3.36	2	-0.64
LAK	J. Quick	39	36	3	92.3%	4.53	4	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	1.15
1	LAK	20	1	1.32
2	EDM	19	2	1.92
2	LAK	7	0	0.51
3	EDM	15	2	1.46
3	LAK	21	1	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9