Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-05-04 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 46.0%

LAK: 54.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.11

LAK: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 56%

EDM

M. Smith

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	30	30	0	100.0%	1.96	1	1.96
LAK	J. Quick	37	31	6	83.8%	2.73	1	-3.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	0	0.64
1	LAK	16	0	0.73
2	EDM	27	1	1.47
2	LAK	12	1	0.56
3	EDM	12	0	0.62
3	LAK	12	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2