Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-05-06 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 8 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 47.3%

EDM: 52.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.94

EDM: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

LAK

J. Quick

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	37	29	8	78.4%	3.68	2	-4.32
EDM	M. Smith	46	44	2	95.7%	3.46	2	1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	27	1	1.50
1	EDM	14	1	0.90
2	LAK	20	1	1.27
2	EDM	23	1	1.74
3	LAK	16	0	0.69
3	EDM	17	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 8 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3