Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-05-08 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 54.8%

EDM: 45.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.11

EDM: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

J. Quick

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	31	31	0	100.0%	3.72	3	3.72
EDM	M. Smith	46	42	4	91.3%	4.85	2	0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	26	0	1.55
1	EDM	15	0	0.52
2	LAK	17	1	1.24
2	EDM	15	3	1.39
3	LAK	19	1	2.05
3	EDM	20	0	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2