Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-05-10 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 47.5%

LAK: 52.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.81

LAK: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 55%

EDM

M. Smith

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	43	38	5	88.4%	4.46	4	-0.54
LAK	J. Quick	28	24	4	85.7%	2.48	2	-1.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	8	0	0.49
1	LAK	21	1	1.20
2	EDM	12	1	0.74
2	LAK	12	1	1.02
3	EDM	16	1	1.25
3	LAK	19	1	1.74
4	EDM	0	0	0.00
4	LAK	4	1	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0