Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-05-12 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 54.7%

EDM: 45.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.16

EDM: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 58%

LAK

J. Quick

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	37	33	4	89.2%	3.85	2	-0.15
EDM	M. Smith	32	30	2	93.8%	2.62	0	0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	18	0	1.03
1	EDM	22	0	1.16
2	LAK	15	0	0.50
2	EDM	17	0	0.87
3	LAK	15	0	1.08
3	EDM	12	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1