New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-05-18 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 New York Rangers (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 66.9%

NYR: 33.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.89

NYR: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 50%

CAR

A. Raanta

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	28	27	1	96.4%	3.06	4	2.06
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	26	24	2	92.3%	2.78	1	0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.70
1	NYR	16	3	1.36
2	CAR	10	1	0.66
2	NYR	17	0	0.88
3	CAR	18	0	1.20
3	NYR	8	1	0.81
4	CAR	5	0	0.23
4	NYR	1	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9