New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-05-20 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CAR: 64.3%

NYR: 35.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.91

NYR: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 55%

CAR

A. Raanta

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	21	21	0	100.0%	1.70	1	1.70
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	22	20	2	90.9%	3.76	5	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	2	0.75
1	NYR	9	1	0.60
2	CAR	14	0	1.27
2	NYR	12	0	0.48
3	CAR	10	3	1.75
3	NYR	13	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9