Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-05-22 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 46.6%

CAR: 53.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.06

CAR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	44	43	1	97.7%	3.91	1	2.91
CAR	A. Raanta	33	30	3	90.9%	3.39	3	0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs CAR: 7-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	1	1.22
1	CAR	19	1	1.44
2	NYR	12	0	0.59
2	CAR	26	0	1.40
3	NYR	14	2	1.58
3	CAR	13	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2