Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-05-24 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 47.4%

CAR: 52.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.92

CAR: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	31	30	1	96.8%	2.41	1	1.41
CAR	A. Raanta	28	24	4	85.7%	2.82	1	-1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs CAR: 7-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	0	1.60
1	CAR	11	0	0.46
2	NYR	10	1	0.74
2	CAR	17	0	0.90
3	NYR	8	0	0.48
3	CAR	13	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2