New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2022-05-26 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 61.6%
NYR: 38.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.14
NYR: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
A. Raanta
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | A. Raanta | 17 | 16 | 1 | 94.1% | 1.49 | 0 | 0.49 |
| NYR | Igor Shesterkin | 34 | 31 | 3 | 91.2% | 2.99 | 0 | -0.01 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3 - 2 NYR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | CAR |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7 - 3 NYR | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 14 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 1 | NYR | 12 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 2 | CAR | 18 | 0 | 1.23 |
| 2 | NYR | 8 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 3 | CAR | 16 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 3 | NYR | 11 | 0 | 0.65 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7
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