Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-05-23 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 45.9%
COL: 54.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.92
COL: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
V. Husso
COL
D. Kuemper
| Stat | STL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | V. Husso | 37 | 31 | 6 | 83.8% | 4.04 | 2 | -1.96 |
| COL | D. Kuemper | 20 | 17 | 3 | 85.0% | 1.71 | 1 | -1.29 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • STL at home vs COL: 2-9
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | STL 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2 - 3 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | COL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 4 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 1 | COL | 21 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 2 | STL | 18 | 1 | 1.13 |
| 2 | COL | 16 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 3 | STL | 9 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 3 | COL | 14 | 2 | 2.34 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3
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