San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-10-07 • O2 Czech Republic

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 48.1%

SJS: 51.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.89

SJS: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	31	30	1	96.8%	3.01	1	2.01
SJS	J. Reimer	32	28	4	87.5%	4.36	2	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs SJS: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	NSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	SJS
2026-04-04	SJS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	SJS
2026-03-24	NSH 6 - 3 SJS	NSH	NSH
2025-03-11	SJS 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-23	SJS 5 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	0	0.82
1	SJS	21	0	1.45
2	NSH	18	1	1.65
2	SJS	14	1	1.03
3	NSH	12	1	1.89
3	SJS	11	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8